Should CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) Be On Your Buy List Right Now?

Should CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) Be On Your Buy List Right Now?

CSL Limited

When it comes to healthcare giants on the ASX, CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) almost always makes the conversation. For years, the company has built a reputation as a reliable compounder with strong cash generation, durable growth engines, and a knack for executing on its long-term strategy.

The question investors are asking now: should CSL be on the buy list right now?

The short answer: yes—if you’re looking for a mix of structural growth, resilient earnings, and near-term catalysts that could unlock further shareholder value.

Let’s break down why.

What CSL Just Delivered

CSL recently reported its FY25 results, and the numbers show the company is still firing on multiple cylinders:

Revenue growth: Total revenue rose 6.28% to $23.83 billion.

Profit surge: Net profit after tax jumped 15% to $4.64 billion.

Margins expanding: Behring’s gross margin expanded by 130 basis points, while operating cash flow climbed 29% and free cash flow surged 58%. This reflects improved efficiency across its plasma collection network and a stronger product mix.

Dividend uplift: CSL declared a final dividend of US$1.62 per share, up 12% year-on-year. With the interim payout of US$1.30, total dividends for FY25 reached US$2.92 per share. (CSL’s dividends are unfranked and declared in USD.)

Why this matters: Despite a mixed backdrop for vaccines, CSL is delivering profit, cash, and dividends all on the rise. The “engine room” businesses—Behring and Vifor—are doing the heavy lifting and demonstrating resilience.

The FY26–FY28 Playbook and Catalysts

What makes CSL compelling today is not just what it’s delivering now, but the roadmap it has laid out for the next few years.

1. Seqirus Demerger

CSL announced plans to spin off its vaccines division, Seqirus, by the end of FY26. This will create two separately focused businesses:

  1. A pure play plasma and renal innovator (Behring + Vifor).
  2. A standalone vaccines business listed on the ASX.

Alongside the demerger, CSL is targeting over US$500 million in annual pre-tax cost savings by FY28, which will be reinvested into growth opportunities.

2. Capital Returns

From FY26, management expects to restart multi-year share buybacks, beginning with around $750 million in the first year, subject to conditions. This comes on top of a growing dividend stream.

3. Behring Growth Drivers

Demand for CSL’s immunoglobulin (IG) and albumin products continues to recover strongly, underpinned by higher plasma collection efficiency. New product launches—including gene therapy and specialty indications—add further growth levers.

4. Vifor Momentum

The Vifor iron and nephrology portfolios delivered 8% revenue growth in FY25. With deeper geographic penetration and a promising pipeline, Vifor looks well placed to sustain high single-digit growth.

Why this matters: Simplifying the portfolio, reinvesting savings, and adding capital returns creates a rare combination—accelerated per-share growth without stretching the balance sheet.

Valuation and Income Context

CSL has always commanded a premium valuation on the ASX, and for good reason. The business consistently generates mid-teens returns on invested capital (ROIC), converts profit into cash at high rates, and operates in defensive, growing end markets.

  1. Dividend yield: With FY25 dividends at US$2.92 per share, CSL’s yield has ranged between 2.0–3.6% depending on share price levels. While not the highest on the ASX, the dividend is backed by strong cash flows and growth potential.
  2. Through-cycle view: Historically, CSL’s premium multiple has reflected its ability to compound earnings over long periods. The upcoming demerger could surface additional value if each business is valued on more appropriate global peer comparisons.

What Investors Should Watch Next

For anyone considering CSL, a few key developments will be critical in the months and years ahead:

  1. Seqirus demerger details: Investors will want clarity on the timetable, capital structure, governance, and whether CSL shareholders receive an in specie distribution of Seqirus shares. Costs of separation versus long-term savings will also be closely scrutinized.
  2. Plasma network KPIs: Keep an eye on plasma collection volumes, yield efficiency, and per-litre economics—all vital to sustaining Behring’s margin progression.
  3. Vifor’s growth trajectory: Watch adoption of iron therapies, nephrology launches, and regional expansion, which will dictate whether Vifor can maintain high single-digit growth.

The Bottom Line

CSL has just hit an attractive trifecta:

  1. Accelerating earnings and cash generation.
  2. Higher dividends with scope for buybacks from FY26.
  3. A credible plan to unlock value through the Seqirus demerger and cost savings.

For long-term investors seeking exposure to defensive healthcare growth combined with near-term catalysts, CSL looks like it deserves a front-row seat on the buy list.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

Pristine Gaze

Grab Your FREE Report on Top 5 ASX Stocks to Buy in 2025