ASX Penny StocksCategoriesConsultation

2 ASX Penny Stocks on the Verge of a Breakout

Here’s a freshly rewritten version of the full article with a cleaner narrative, stronger flow, and more engaging investment language — without changing the core facts:

Penny stocks can be unpredictable — they move fast, react sharply to news, and are often ignored by the broader market. Yet this mix of volatility and untapped potential is exactly what attracts investors searching for the next major ASX success story. Small caps can rerate quickly when earnings take off, a breakthrough contract lands, or a new resource is uncovered.

At the moment, two ASX names stand out as candidates for such a move: Alfabs Australia (ASX: AAL) and Trigg Mining (ASX: TMG). Both operate in sectors where news flow can rapidly shift valuations, and both have emerging growth stories that analysts say could translate into meaningful upside. Let’s break them down.

Alfabs Australia (ASX: AAL): Industrial Growth Meets Earnings Momentum

Alfabs Australia is far from a speculative micro-cap with a single idea. It’s a diversified industrial services and equipment business with long-standing ties to Australia’s mining and infrastructure sectors. Whether it’s engineering, fabrication, equipment hire, or fleet refurbishment, AAL supplies the essential services that keep heavy industry running.

Its latest results have placed the company firmly on investors’ watchlists.

Standout Numbers

  • FY25 revenue came in at $95 million, broadly flat year-on-year.
  • Net profit surged 242% to $12 million, reflecting a strong earnings turnaround.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) jumped 29%, supported by improved margins and a shift toward higher-value service offerings.

Compelling Valuation

As of late September, AAL traded near $0.49 per share with:

  • Trailing P/E of 10
  • Forward P/E approaching 8
  • A fully franked dividend yield of 7.5%, unusually high for a small cap

Analyst consensus places the 12-month target price around $0.55, with most leaning “Buy”.

Growth Drivers to Watch

Analysts expect double-digit revenue and EPS growth over the next three years, with return on equity (ROE) projected to exceed 22% by FY27. Low debt, strong free cash flow generation, and disciplined capital expenditure further support the outlook.

Why AAL Could Re-Rate Higher

AAL has recently secured several large contracts, strengthening earnings visibility. Combined with analyst upgrades and improving market sentiment, the stock appears positioned for a potential breakout. A rare blend of growth, yield, and operational momentum makes AAL a small-cap industrial name capable of outperforming.

Trigg Mining (ASX: TMG): Food Security Meets Critical Minerals

Trigg Mining offers a very different investment angle — exposure to high-growth, strategic resources.

Historically, Trigg’s focus has been on its Lake Throssell Sulphate of Potash (SOP) project in Western Australia. SOP is a premium fertiliser essential for high-value crops, making it central to global food security themes. In late 2024, Trigg expanded the Lake Throssell resource by 90%, cementing its position as one of Australia’s most significant SOP brine resources.

In 2025, the company widened its scope further, acquiring three high-grade antimony projects — stepping directly into the critical minerals space. Antimony is used in energy storage, advanced alloys, semiconductors, and is increasingly relevant for battery manufacturing.

Why Investors Are Taking Notice

Capital Strength: Following two oversubscribed capital raises in late 2024, Trigg began June 2025 with $1.56 million in cash, providing runway for exploration across its diversified portfolio.

Resource Expansion: Trigg is advancing:

  • SOP development at Lake Throssell
  • Gold exploration in Queensland’s Drummond Basin
  • Antimony prospects in New South Wales

The most recent placement drew in institutional investors — a positive signal of confidence in Trigg’s multi-commodity approach.

Near-Term Catalysts

Trigg has multiple potential share-price triggers lined up for Q4 2025:

  • Active drilling across antimony and gold targets
  • Further Lake Throssell resource updates
  • Potential progress on offtake agreements or funding partnerships

Any improvement in SOP pricing globally could compound upside.

Why TMG Could Break Out

Trigg is positioned at the intersection of two global megatrends: food security and electrification. This dual exposure is increasingly attractive to long-term capital. With multiple catalysts on the horizon, TMG presents a speculative yet compelling opportunity for investors seeking early-stage growth in critical resources.

The Takeaway

In a crowded small-cap universe, these two ASX penny stocks stand apart for different reasons:

Alfabs Australia (AAL)

A genuine earnings turnaround, attractive dividend yield, low gearing, and solid growth forecasts. Add contract wins and analyst upgrades, and AAL appears to have tailwinds building.

Trigg Mining (TMG)

A strategic expansion from potash into battery-linked minerals, supported by fresh capital and active exploration. With catalysts approaching, TMG provides exposure to two structural global demand themes.

Bottom Line

Penny stocks carry higher risk — but that’s what allows them to deliver outsized rewards. Both Alfabs Australia and Trigg Mining offer credible fundamentals paired with near-term catalysts.

  • AAL aims to convert industrial expertise into accelerating earnings and shareholder returns.
  • TMG aims to leverage its potash foundation while tapping into the rapidly expanding world of critical minerals.

In the fast-moving world of small-cap investing, a single contract, drill result, or analyst re-rating can spark a major move. Right now, Alfabs and Trigg look like two names worth marking on the ASX watchlist.

ASX: LYC)CategoriesConsultation

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC) Hits Record Highs After $750M Capital Raise

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) has caught strong investor attention this week, with its share price climbing nearly 7% to fresh record highs of $16.36. The move extends a remarkable run for the rare earths producer, with shareholders now sitting on gains of more than 100% over the past year.

A Major Capital Raise Fuelling Expansion

Last month, Lynas completed a $750 million capital raising at $13.25 per share, giving the company a significant balance sheet boost. For investors who participated, the move has already delivered healthy returns as the stock trades well above the issue price.

The fresh funds are earmarked for Lynas’ Towards 2030 strategy, a plan designed to strengthen its position in the global rare earths supply chain. This initiative will help optimise the company’s existing capital investments while positioning it to capture new opportunities in the fast-growing rare earths market.

Rare Earths Leader Outside of China

Lynas stands out as one of the very few producers of separated rare earth oxides operating outside of China. The company owns and operates the world’s largest single rare earths separation facility in Malaysia, which recently expanded to a nameplate capacity of 10,500 tonnes per annum.

Its flagship Mt Weld mine in Western Australia continues to be a cornerstone of supply, and exploration efforts are underway to optimise mine plans and extend the project’s life. Lynas is also progressing value-added projects, including specialty manufacturing capabilities and partnerships aimed at developing magnet and rare earth metal production.

Growth Momentum Despite Profit Dip

While Lynas reported a full-year profit of $8 million in August — down from $84.5 million the prior year — revenue climbed to $556.5 million, supported by record production during the June quarter. Management highlighted that this production base provides a strong platform for the company’s ambitious growth pipeline.

The market appears to be focused on these future prospects rather than the short-term profit decline, as investors continue to back Lynas’ strategy to cement itself as a global leader in rare earths outside of China.

Investor Takeaways

With its share price at record highs, Lynas is drawing attention as both a growth and strategic play in the resources sector. Its unique positioning in rare earths — critical materials for electric vehicles, wind turbines, and other clean energy technologies — places it at the centre of long-term structural demand.

Still, investors should remain mindful of risks, including commodity price fluctuations, geopolitical factors, and execution challenges in delivering large-scale growth projects.

At Pristine Gaze, we believe Lynas’ recent capital raise and expanded production capacity highlight strong forward momentum. The company’s rare position outside of China provides it with a strategic advantage in a sector likely to see increasing global demand.

That said, volatility is always a factor in resource markets. Long-term investors may find Lynas’ growth prospects compelling, but short-term traders should remain cautious of potential swings in pricing and sentiment.

Note: This article represents Pristine Gaze’s independent analysis and is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Investors are encouraged to conduct their own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

DividendCategoriesConsultation

Qantas (ASX: QAN) Dividend Dip Could Be a Buying Opportunity?

Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) is once again in the spotlight after its share price slipped following its latest dividend announcement. Shares in the flagship Australian airline recently traded at $11.13, down from $11.30, leaving some investors wondering whether this pullback could present an entry point.

Why Did Qantas Shares Slide?

The dip wasn’t driven by new global events, fuel price volatility, or operational setbacks. Instead, Qantas began trading ex-dividend, meaning only investors who owned shares before the record date will receive the latest dividend payout. It’s common for share prices to ease on the ex-dividend date, as the stock no longer carries that immediate income benefit.

Strong Earnings Performance Behind the Dividend

Looking at its FY25 results, Qantas reported an 8.6% increase in revenue to $23.82 billion. Underlying profit before tax also rose by 15% year-on-year to $2.39 billion, highlighting strong operational performance despite ongoing challenges in the airline industry.

Management declared a fully franked final dividend of 16.5 cents per share, along with a special dividend of 9.9 cents per share. That brings the total payout to 26.4 cents per share — a meaningful reward for investors holding through the record date.

For long-term shareholders, the recent share price dip essentially reflects the dividend adjustment. If added back, the effective return shows a modest gain compared to the ASX 200’s performance over the same period.

The Bigger Picture for Qantas

Beyond dividends, Qantas continues to advance its fleet renewal strategy. The airline recently highlighted the upcoming deployment of its new Airbus A321XLR aircraft, which will expand its reach across domestic and short-haul international routes. This step not only enhances passenger experience but also positions Qantas to tap into routes previously limited by its older fleet.

Investor Takeaways

While the ex-dividend effect has temporarily weighed on Qantas shares, the company’s earnings momentum, solid balance sheet, and focus on renewal suggest resilience. The dividend payout itself underscores management’s confidence in cash flows, and the fleet upgrades could strengthen Qantas’ competitive edge in both domestic and regional markets.

For income-focused investors, this dividend dip may represent a potential buying opportunity — though timing the entry remains important.

Pristine Gaze Opinion

At Pristine Gaze, we view Qantas as a strong player in the ASX 200 airline sector with long-term tailwinds from travel demand and operational upgrades. The current dip appears more technical than fundamental, which could make it attractive for those seeking exposure to both dividend income and growth potential.

However, as always with cyclical industries like aviation, factors such as fuel prices, geopolitical risks, and consumer demand remain key variables. A cautious, long-term perspective is advised.

Note: This article represents Pristine Gaze’s independent analysis and is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be taken as financial advice. We recommend conducting your own research and consulting with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.