Is FMG Still a Golden Iron Giant or a Risky Green Bet?

Fortescue Metals Group (ASX: FMG) has carved out a dominant position in Australia’s mining landscape. Best known for shipping vast quantities of iron ore to China, FMG has built a reputation for delivering robust profits and generous dividends. Yet, the company is no longer just about iron ore. Under the ambitious leadership of founder Andrew Forrest, FMG is undergoing a dramatic transformation — one that positions it as a clean energy pioneer, particularly in green hydrogen and sustainable steel.

This evolution has sparked a polarising debate among investors. On one hand, Fortescue’s green strategy could make it a future-facing powerhouse. On the other hand, its capital-intensive diversification efforts, paired with external risks, raise concerns. So, is FMG a long-term value play or a potential misfire in the making?

Let’s explore both the bull and bear case to assess if FMG is still worth a place in your portfolio.

The Bull Case: Why FMG Might Be a Long-Term Winner

1. Iron Ore Remains a Profitable Engine
   Despite global uncertainties, Fortescue’s core business remains highly lucrative. In H1 FY25, the company reported revenue of $11.55 billion, driven by strong iron ore shipments. China still accounts for over 60% of global seaborne iron ore demand, and FMG’s ability to deliver at scale and at low cost gives it a strategic advantage.

Fortescue is one of the lowest-cost producers in the world, with a competitive C1 cost per tonne, which allows it to remain profitable even when prices dip. In a commodity-heavy world, that matters — a lot.

2. Dividends That Keep Paying Off
   Income-focused investors continue to love FMG. Its fully franked dividend yield of 8.2% is among the highest in the ASX200. This reflects strong cash flows, disciplined capital management, and a clear commitment to shareholder returns.

In FY24, FMG returned billions to shareholders through dividends, supported by consistent EBITDA margins and efficient operations.

3. Green Hydrogen: A Strategic First-Mover Advantage
   FMG isn’t just reacting to the ESG trend — it’s proactively investing in it. Through its green energy arm, Fortescue Energy, the company has committed over $1 billion to develop green hydrogen, ammonia, and clean iron technologies.

Projects like the green iron pilot plant at Christmas Creek and partnerships across the globe (including the U.S., Kenya, and Germany) place Fortescue ahead of major mining peers like BHP and Rio Tinto in the clean energy race.

If these ventures succeed, FMG could transition from a pure-play miner into a dual engine — combining iron ore dominance with leadership in clean energy exports.

4. Strong Financial Position and Visionary Leadership
   FMG’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.51x and return on equity (ROE) of 20% highlight an efficiently run company that is still trading at attractive valuation levels.

The balance sheet remains healthy, with over $3.64 billion in operating cash flow in H1 FY25. Andrew Forrest’s bold vision for a green future, while controversial, aligns with long-term global decarbonisation trends, giving Fortescue potential access to new markets and investor segments.

The Bear Case: Why Investors Should Be Cautious

1. Iron Ore Dependency = Commodity Risk
   FMG’s fortunes are still tightly tied to the price of iron ore. And while China remains the largest customer, its property sector is under stress, and infrastructure spending is uneven. Any drop in demand or price — even a temporary one — could hit FMG’s top line.

Additionally, new supply from countries like Brazil or Africa could increase global iron ore availability, putting further pressure on prices.

2. Rising Costs Could Squeeze Margins
   Although FMG is cost-efficient, inflationary pressures and operational challenges have led to rising production costs. If iron ore prices don’t rise in tandem, FMG’s margins could shrink.

Cost per tonne is creeping up, and while manageable now, it’s a red flag for future profitability if global conditions worsen.

3. Green Energy = High Capital, High Risk
   Investing in unproven green hydrogen technology is no small feat. FMG’s clean energy projects, while visionary, are in the early stages. Despite the billion-dollar investments, there is no commercial-scale output yet.

Delays, cost overruns, or regulatory hurdles could make these projects longer-term bets with uncertain returns. The risk of burning cash without sufficient payoff is real.

4. Geopolitical and Regulatory Uncertainty
   FMG’s heavy exposure to China brings inherent geopolitical risk. Tensions between Australia and China in recent years have shown how quickly trade relationships can become strained. Any shift in China’s supply chain strategy or a preference for domestic ore could hurt FMG’s sales.

Additionally, the company faces regulatory risks at home — particularly around environmental concerns and native land rights in Western Australia’s Pilbara region. These factors can delay or restrict future operations.

Financials

Fortescue Metals Group continues to demonstrate solid financial performance, reinforcing its appeal to both income and value investors. In the first half of FY25, the company reported total revenue of $11.55 billion, reflecting continued strength in its core iron ore operations. Its operating cash flow stood at a robust $3.64 billion, underlining strong internal capital generation. One of FMG’s most attractive features remains its fully franked dividend yield of around 8.2%, consistently ranking among the highest in the ASX200 and appealing to yield-seeking investors. The stock is also trading at a relatively low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 9.51x, suggesting a discounted valuation compared to historical averages and industry peers. Additionally, the company has maintained a strong return on equity (ROE) of around 20%, which highlights efficient use of shareholder capital and sustained profitability despite external challenges such as commodity price fluctuations and rising costs.

Final Verdict: A Balanced Perspective

Fortescue Metals Group stands at a fascinating crossroad.

For conservative investors, FMG still delivers on its core promise: reliable dividends, low valuation, and strong margins from a world-class mining operation. For visionary investors, the green hydrogen pivot may be exactly what the future demands.

However, the transition comes with real risks — not just financially, but strategically. Execution, capital allocation, and geopolitical developments will all play a big role in determining FMG’s success.

Bottom Line:

FMG isn’t a screaming buy. Nor is it a stock to dismiss.
It’s a strategic hold for most investors — a rare ASX company with dependable returns today and ambitious (but expensive) goals for tomorrow.

If you believe in decarbonisation, green energy, and FMG’s ability to execute, there’s a strong case for being bullish.
If you’re wary of iron ore volatility, rising costs, or speculative capital expenditure, the bear case is equally valid.

Diversification, patience, and long-term vision are key when considering Fortescue’s place in your portfolio.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

When stepping into the world of investing, the stock market can feel like an ocean — deep, unpredictable, and overwhelming. Beginner investors often find themselves asking: Where do I start? Among the hundreds of companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), one name that consistently stands out for its stability and simplicity is Coles Group Limited (ASX: COL).

So, is Coles a good first investment? Let’s break it down.

Understanding Coles Group Limited

Coles Group is one of Australia’s biggest and most recognizable supermarket retailers. After its demerger from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles emerged as a standalone company with a focus on essential household goods, liquor, and convenience. It operates:

Over 800 supermarkets

More than 900 liquor stores (under brands like Liquorland, First Choice Liquor Market, and Vintage Cellars)

Fuel and convenience outlets through partnerships

Its mission is simple: “To sustainably feed all Australians to help them lead healthier, happier lives.” This consumer-first strategy has kept Coles deeply embedded in the day-to-day lives of millions across the country.

Why Coles Is Ideal for Beginner Investors

1. Operates in a Defensive Sector

Coles belongs to the consumer staples sector — an industry known for its resilience. People need groceries, household essentials, and personal care items regardless of economic ups and downs. This makes the business less susceptible to market shocks compared to tech, mining, or discretionary sectors.

In tough times like recessions or pandemics, companies like Coles still thrive because they sell what people can’t stop buying.

2. A Simple and Transparent Business Model

As a new investor, you might find it difficult to grasp the complex operations of biotech or artificial intelligence firms. Coles offers a welcome contrast — it earns money by selling groceries, liquor, and essentials. That’s it.

This clarity is valuable for beginners, helping you focus on learning how the market works without being confused by technical jargon or complex business structures.

3. Reliable Dividends for Passive Income

Coles is known for paying consistent dividends, which is a major plus for first-time investors looking for steady income. Historically, Coles has delivered dividend yields in the range of 3.5% to 4%, with two payments made each year.

Even if the share price doesn’t swing wildly, dividend income offers a sense of reward and builds confidence over time — especially when reinvested for compounding returns.

Coles Group’s Financial Snapshot (H1 FY25)

Coles’ recent results for the first half of FY25 show why it remains a dependable player in the Australian market:

Revenue: $23.11 billion

Net Income: $576 million

P/E Ratio: 22.98

Return on Equity (ROE): 30.41%

Let’s unpack that.

Revenue growth reflects stable consumer demand across all segments, especially as Australians continue to shop both in-store and online.

Net income of $576 million indicates Coles is managing costs well despite inflation and supply chain challenges.

A P/E ratio of 22.98 suggests investors are willing to pay a fair premium for its earnings, confident in its stability and reputation.

A ROE of 30.41% is particularly impressive, highlighting that Coles is using shareholders’ capital efficiently and generating strong returns.

For a beginner, these numbers show strength without unnecessary volatility — something you’ll appreciate as you start building your investment journey.

Intangible Strength: Brand Power

Coles is not just any supermarket — it’s a brand deeply trusted by Australians. Whether it’s the familiar “Down Down” jingle or its commitment to fresh produce and affordable prices, the brand loyalty Coles enjoys is unmatched.

As an investor, especially a beginner, it’s often wise to start with companies you understand and use. Investing in Coles means investing in a brand you likely encounter every week — and that familiarity can go a long way in making you feel confident about your investment choices.

Risks to Consider

No investment is entirely risk-free. Coles, while stable, is not a high-growth stock. Its mature business model limits explosive returns. Competition from Woolworths (ASX: WOW), Aldi, and Costco also keeps margins tight. Furthermore, rising labor and logistics costs could impact profitability in the future.

However, these risks are common in the retail space and are generally well-managed by Coles’ leadership.

Final Investment Tip: Start Simple, Diversify Gradually

While Coles can be a great starting point, it’s important to diversify. Pairing Coles with growth stocks, ETFs, or other sector-leading companies can provide a balance of risk and return. Think of Coles as the “anchor” in your portfolio — something steady while you explore other investment opportunities.

Conclusion: Take Your First Step with Confidence

If you’re a beginner trying to make sense of the ASX, Coles Group Limited (ASX: COL) offers a clear and compelling case. With its steady cash flows, robust dividend policy, and essential nature of business, Coles gives you peace of mind as you begin your investment journey.

In investing, the hardest part is often the first step — Coles might just be the right one for you.

(ASX: MQG, SHL, APA)

Let’s face it — inflation is the silent thief in the room.

You earn, you save, and you invest… and then inflation quietly chips away at your purchasing power like termites in a wooden cabinet.

This is why smart investors don’t just look for dividends — they look for dividends that grow.

In the world of investing, dividend growth is like the golden goose. It gives you passive income, but instead of the eggs staying the same size every year, they get a little bigger. That’s how you beat inflation — slowly, steadily, and with the right picks in your portfolio.

And guess what? The ASX has some hidden champions that have been quietly doing this for years.

Let’s talk about three underrated dividend growers that deserve your attention:

1. Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG)
2. Sonic Healthcare (ASX: SHL)
3. APA Group (ASX: APA)

Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG)

The Dividend Powerhouse That Doesn’t Flinch

Imagine an investment bank that’s not just about sharp suits and complex jargon — but one that consistently rewards shareholders year after year. That’s Macquarie Group for you.

Often described as the “quiet achiever” of global finance, Macquarie blends asset management, infrastructure financing, commodities trading, and banking into one powerful machine. It has its hands in nearly every major global sector.

The Numbers Behind the Curtain (H2 FY24):

Revenue: $16.30 billion

Net Profit: $2.03 billion

Return on Equity (ROE): 10.41%

Dividend Paid in FY24: $6.50 per share (fully franked)

Yes, that’s more than some people’s rent.

But what really stands out is this: Macquarie doesn’t just pay dividends — it grows them. Its dividend CAGR over the past decade is proof that MQG knows how to balance growth and reward.

Why it fights inflation well:

1. Global footprint = diversified revenue streams
2. Real asset exposure (infra, energy) = inflation-linked income
3. Strong capital management = consistency in payouts

Sonic Healthcare (ASX: SHL)

Boring Business. Beautiful Results.

Diagnostics may not sound exciting, but when you peel back the curtain, Sonic Healthcare is a beast in disguise. Operating across Australia, the US, and Europe, this company runs one of the largest pathology and imaging networks on the planet.

It’s not flashy, but it’s resilient — and the pandemic only highlighted its essential role in global healthcare.

Here’s What They’ve Done (H1 FY25):

Revenue: $4.66 billion

Net Profit: $236.68 million

ROE: 6.86%

FY24 Dividend: $1.06 per share

Sonic has been paying and growing dividends for more than two decades. That’s not just rare — it’s elite.

Why Sonic defies inflation:

1. Aging populations = long-term demand
2. Healthcare is non-cyclical = stable cash flows
3. Operations across continents = natural hedge against inflation shocks

In a nutshell: People will always need medical testing, and Sonic’s scale means it’ll always be there — growing slowly, but surely.

APA Group (ASX: APA)

The Reliable Tortoise in the Dividend Race

If you love consistency, APA Group might just be your spirit animal. While others chase high-growth tech or ride speculative waves, APA has been quietly building Australia’s energy backbone — gas pipelines, wind farms, and soon, hydrogen.

The business model is straightforward: build essential infrastructure, lock in long-term contracts (many inflation-linked), and collect steady income.

What They Delivered (H1 FY25):

Revenue: $1.61 billion

Net Income: $18 million

FY24 Distribution: 56 cents per share

Distribution Growth: 20+ years without a cut

This is the kind of stock that doesn’t make headlines — but it makes a difference in your dividend income.

Why APA quietly beats inflation:

1. Inflation-linked contracts = built-in pricing power
2. Essential services = stable demand
3. Renewable transition = long-term growth optionality

APA doesn’t just pay. It compounds. Like a good habit or a smart decision.

Final Thought: Growth You Can Count On

When inflation runs wild, you need more than just returns — you need resilience.

All three companies — Macquarie, Sonic, and APA — have proven they can thrive in changing economic conditions, reward shareholders consistently, and raise the bar each year. These aren’t meme stocks or moonshots. They’re long-term companions in the journey to financial freedom.

If you’re tired of watching inflation erode your savings, it’s time to start focusing on dividend growers, not just dividend payers.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

Featuring: Dubber Corporation (ASX: DUB) and Pointerra Limited (ASX: 3DP)

When we think about tech investing, the conversation often turns toward Silicon Valley behemoths. But savvy investors know that some of the most explosive growth stories begin quietly — far from the NASDAQ limelight. On the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), a number of small-cap tech players are making waves in niche segments.

In particular, two penny stocks — Dubber Corporation Limited (ASX: DUB) and Pointerra Limited (ASX: 3DP) — are emerging as high-potential candidates to watch heading into FY26. While still trading under $1, both companies are carving out unique positions in rapidly growing tech domains: AI-powered voice intelligence and cloud-based 3D geospatial data.

Let’s dive into what makes them so promising.

1. Dubber Corporation Limited (ASX: DUB)

Sector: Cloud-Based Voice Intelligence & Compliance
Current Price Range: Under $1

Dubber is at the forefront of voice data capture and call recording solutions. Its platform allows service providers and enterprises to record conversations across devices — mobile, desk phones, video conferencing apps — directly from the network, without hardware. But it doesn’t stop there. The real game-changer? Dubber’s AI layer that analyzes and transcribes voice data, transforming conversations into actionable business intelligence.

What Makes Dubber Stand Out?

1. Surging Demand for Voice Compliance and AI Insight
   In today’s hybrid working world, compliance regulations are tightening — especially in sectors like finance, healthcare, and legal. Dubber helps organisations meet these obligations with real-time, cloud-native call recording.

More than just storing calls, Dubber’s AI technology transcribes and analyses them, extracting patterns, sentiment, and keywords — enabling better customer service, risk monitoring, and even employee training.

2. Strategic Global Partnerships
   Dubber’s growth engine is fuelled by partnerships with over 170 service providers, including heavyweights like AT&T, Cisco, Telstra, and Optus. These collaborations embed Dubber’s services into network infrastructure, making user acquisition almost frictionless and allowing global scale.
3. SaaS Model with Recurring Revenue
   The company runs on a SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) model, ensuring stable, recurring revenue. It continues to expand its Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) by layering advanced AI analytics and enterprise-grade features.

Financial Snapshot: H1 FY25

Revenue: $20.52 million

Net Loss: Narrowed by 45% YoY, thanks to tighter cost controls

Cash Position: Significantly improved, offering better liquidity and investment runway

Dubber’s path to profitability seems clearer with every quarter, and its recurring model positions it strongly for margin expansion by FY26.

2. Pointerra Limited (ASX: 3DP)

Sector: 3D Geospatial Data & Cloud Computing
Current Price Range: Under $1

Pointerra operates in the fast-growing geospatial data space. Its cloud platform stores, visualizes, and processes massive 3D datasets — often collected using drones, LiDAR scanners, or satellites. These data layers are critical in industries like energy, utilities, mining, defense, and construction.

Why Pointerra Has Breakout Potential

1. Solving a Real Bottleneck
   Handling large 3D datasets has traditionally been clunky, expensive, and time-consuming. Pointerra’s solution eliminates the need for heavy infrastructure. Using its patented platform, users can visualize and collaborate on geospatial data in real time — from anywhere in the world.

This functionality is key for industries shifting toward digital twins, remote asset management, and infrastructure modernization.

2. U.S. Market Momentum
   Pointerra is gaining traction in the U.S. — the world’s biggest infrastructure and defense market. It has secured deals with utility companies and U.S. government agencies, and is actively involved in grid modernization projects.

Its collaborations in defense and aerospace further widen its moat, particularly as these sectors demand real-time, high-resolution spatial intelligence.

3. Sticky SaaS Revenue and Enterprise Loyalty
   Like Dubber, Pointerra also enjoys the benefits of a SaaS model. Once integrated into an enterprise’s workflow, its platform becomes essential — which results in high client retention and predictable revenue streams.

Financial Snapshot: H1 FY25

Revenue: $6.99 million, up 185.49% YoY

Net Income: Turned positive, a huge turnaround from previous year losses

Gross Margin: 40.57%, reflecting efficient operations and product scalability

Pointerra’s combination of strong revenue growth, improving profitability, and U.S. exposure makes it a compelling story heading into FY26.

Final Thoughts: Why These Tech Penny Stocks Deserve a Closer Look

Dubber and Pointerra may be small in market cap today, but their disruptive technologies, global market exposure, and scalable SaaS models put them on track for significant long-term growth.

While penny stocks inherently carry higher risk, these two stand out because they aren’t just speculative plays — they’re real businesses solving real problems in sectors with strong future demand.

For forward-thinking investors ready to ride the next wave of tech innovation in Australia, Dubber and Pointerra are names worth bookmarking. FY26 could be the year these penny stocks finally punch above their weight.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

In a year when the ASX has been a mixed bag for investors, one name has stood out with a golden glow—Regis Resources (ASX: RRL). While larger miners have stumbled or treaded water, Regis has surged ahead, more than doubling its share price in 2025. It’s a surprising rally for a company that was struggling with profitability just a year ago. So, what exactly is fueling this impressive turnaround?

Let’s dig into the data and uncover what’s really driving Regis Resources’ explosive performance—and whether it has room to run further.

1. Operational Strength: Turning Gold into Profits

Regis Resources has delivered a standout operational performance in the first half of FY25. The company produced nearly 196,000 ounces of gold, and this wasn’t just about volume—it was about profitability.

Here’s what the numbers look like:

1. Operating cash flow: $347.73 million (up 176.3% YoY)
2. EBITDA: $359 million (119% increase YoY)
3. Statutory net profit: $88 million (vs $91 million loss in H1 FY24)

This shift from a heavy loss to a solid profit signals more than a recovery—it shows Regis has re-established control over its cost base and is operating its assets with much greater efficiency.

Its two key operations, Duketon and a 30% stake in the Tropicana mine, are now stable cash generators. The consistency and predictability of output from these sites is a huge factor behind the company’s turnaround—and investors have taken note.

2. Soaring Gold Prices: A Perfect Tailwind

Gold has been one of the best-performing assets in 2025, with prices climbing above A$3,900/oz—an all-time high in local currency terms. While many miners hedge their gold sales to reduce price risk, Regis has kept its exposure relatively open.

This means Regis has been able to fully benefit from the surge in spot gold prices, boosting its margins significantly. With costs now well under control, every extra dollar per ounce flows straight into profits.

This favourable macro backdrop has acted like jet fuel for the company’s bottom line—and, by extension, its share price.

3. Exploration Upside: More Gold in the Ground

While the company is reaping rewards from existing mines, it’s also investing heavily in exploration—particularly across its Duketon land package, where Regis holds large tenement positions.

Recent drilling results have hinted at potential resource upgrades, which could extend the life of its mines and offer future production growth. Investors love to see not just profits today, but sustainability and scale tomorrow—and Regis is positioning itself to offer both.

With continued capital going into exploration, the potential for reserve growth remains a key part of the long-term bull case for RRL.

4. M&A Optionality: Ready to Strike

In early 2025, Regis was among the bidders for the Ravenswood Gold Mine—a sign that management is actively scouting for value-accretive acquisitions. While it didn’t win the asset, the move showed a clear intent: the company is in expansion mode.

And unlike many juniors that are overleveraged or cash-strapped, Regis has the financial muscle to make deals happen:

1. Strong cash flows
2. Minimal debt
3. A disciplined capital allocation strategy

Should the right opportunity come along, Regis is in a great position to strike.

5. Institutional Confidence Is Growing

For much of the last few years, Regis traded at a discount compared to gold mining giants like Northern Star and Evolution. But with fundamentals improving and gold prices remaining supportive, investors are starting to re-rate the stock.

In fact, more than 50% of RRL’s shares are now held by institutional investors—a sharp increase that signals growing market confidence.

Broker upgrades have followed, with several analysts revising their price targets upward. As more fund managers look for gold exposure, Regis—still small compared to its larger peers—offers both value and upside.

Looking Ahead: What Could Drive the Next Leg Higher?

As Regis Resources rides high on its recent success, investors are beginning to wonder—what could drive the next leg higher? The outlook remains promising on multiple fronts. Gold prices are likely to stay elevated in the near to medium term, driven by ongoing global economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and continued central bank purchases. This provides a favourable pricing environment for gold miners like Regis. On the operational side, production is expected to remain stable or even grow modestly through FY25–26, supported by consistent output from the Duketon and Tropicana assets. Moreover, Regis is actively exploring high-potential zones within its existing tenements, particularly at Duketon, which could lead to reserve upgrades and extended mine life. Beyond organic growth, the company is also positioning itself for strategic acquisitions, as demonstrated by its recent interest in the Ravenswood Gold Mine.

Final Thoughts: Not Just Riding the Gold Wave

There’s no denying that gold’s rally has helped Regis Resources immensely. But this is not just a “rising tide lifts all boats” scenario. Regis is outperforming peers because it’s executing exceptionally well.

From smarter cost controls and improving margins to exploration upside and acquisition potential, Regis is checking all the boxes that investors want in a gold miner.

For those looking to participate in the gold boom—but with a name that still offers relative value—Regis Resources (ASX: RRL) is fast becoming a standout pick. It’s a reminder that in mining, execution matters—and Regis is delivering in gold.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

Let’s face it — inflation is the silent thief in the room.

You earn, you save, and you invest… and then inflation quietly chips away at your purchasing power like termites in a wooden cabinet.

This is why smart investors don’t just look for dividends — they look for dividends that grow.

In the world of investing, dividend growth is like the golden goose. It gives you passive income, but instead of the eggs staying the same size every year, they get a little bigger. That’s how you beat inflation — slowly, steadily, and with the right picks in your portfolio.

And guess what? The ASX has some hidden champions that have been quietly doing this for years.

Let’s talk about three underrated dividend growers that deserve your attention:

1. Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG)
2. Sonic Healthcare (ASX: SHL)
3. APA Group (ASX: APA)

Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG)

The Dividend Powerhouse That Doesn’t Flinch

Imagine an investment bank that’s not just about sharp suits and complex jargon — but one that consistently rewards shareholders year after year. That’s Macquarie Group for you.

Often described as the “quiet achiever” of global finance, Macquarie blends asset management, infrastructure financing, commodities trading, and banking into one powerful machine. It has its hands in nearly every major global sector.

The Numbers Behind the Curtain (H2 FY24):

Revenue: $16.30 billion

Net Profit: $2.03 billion

Return on Equity (ROE): 10.41%

Dividend Paid in FY24: $6.50 per share (fully franked)

Yes, that’s more than some people’s rent.

But what really stands out is this: Macquarie doesn’t just pay dividends — it grows them. Its dividend CAGR over the past decade is proof that MQG knows how to balance growth and reward.

Why it fights inflation well:

1. Global footprint = diversified revenue streams
2. Real asset exposure (infra, energy) = inflation-linked income
3. Strong capital management = consistency in payouts

Sonic Healthcare (ASX: SHL)

Boring Business. Beautiful Results.

Diagnostics may not sound exciting, but when you peel back the curtain, Sonic Healthcare is a beast in disguise. Operating across Australia, the US, and Europe, this company runs one of the largest pathology and imaging networks on the planet.

It’s not flashy, but it’s resilient — and the pandemic only highlighted its essential role in global healthcare.

Here’s What They’ve Done (H1 FY25):

Revenue: $4.66 billion

Net Profit: $236.68 million

ROE: 6.86%

FY24 Dividend: $1.06 per share

Sonic has been paying and growing dividends for more than two decades. That’s not just rare — it’s elite.

Why Sonic defies inflation:

1. Aging populations = long-term demand
2. Healthcare is non-cyclical = stable cash flows
3. Operations across continents = natural hedge against inflation shocks

In a nutshell: People will always need medical testing, and Sonic’s scale means it’ll always be there — growing slowly, but surely.

APA Group (ASX: APA)

The Reliable Tortoise in the Dividend Race

If you love consistency, APA Group might just be your spirit animal. While others chase high-growth tech or ride speculative waves, APA has been quietly building Australia’s energy backbone — gas pipelines, wind farms, and soon, hydrogen.

The business model is straightforward: build essential infrastructure, lock in long-term contracts (many inflation-linked), and collect steady income.

What They Delivered (H1 FY25):

Revenue: $1.61 billion

Net Income: $18 million

FY24 Distribution: 56 cents per share

Distribution Growth: 20+ years without a cut

This is the kind of stock that doesn’t make headlines — but it makes a difference in your dividend income.

Why APA quietly beats inflation:

1. Inflation-linked contracts = built-in pricing power
2. Essential services = stable demand
3. Renewable transition = long-term growth optionality

APA doesn’t just pay. It compounds. Like a good habit or a smart decision.

Final Thought: Growth You Can Count On

When inflation runs wild, you need more than just returns — you need resilience.

All three companies — Macquarie, Sonic, and APA — have proven they can thrive in changing economic conditions, reward shareholders consistently, and raise the bar each year. These aren’t meme stocks or moonshots. They’re long-term companions in the journey to financial freedom.

If you’re tired of watching inflation erode your savings, it’s time to start focusing on dividend growers, not just dividend payers.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

When markets get jittery, many investors flee to the sidelines. But not me. While short-term volatility can shake even seasoned hands, I see it as an opportunity—especially when it comes to Insurance Australia Group (ASX: IAG).

Despite the noise around rising reinsurance costs and natural disasters, I’m still buying IAG stock. Why? Because this company has the brand strength, financial discipline, and long-term strategy to not just survive—but thrive.

Let’s dive into what keeps me bullish on IAG even during turbulent times.

1. Insurance Is Cyclical—but Built to Last

The insurance industry moves in predictable cycles. When natural disasters hit, insurers face a wave of claims. But soon after, premiums rise, loss ratios improve, and margins recover.

We’ve seen this play out over the past few years. IAG faced a tough environment—intense floods, higher repair costs, and macro uncertainty. But through it all, it remained resilient, showing that its business model is designed to withstand shocks.

This resilience is why IAG remains a cornerstone of my long-term portfolio.

2. Strong Brand Portfolio = Pricing Power

IAG isn’t just another insurer—it owns some of the most trusted brands in Australia and New Zealand, including:

1. NRMA Insurance
2. CGU
3. SGIO & SGIC
4. WFI
5. AMI (NZ)

These are not just logos—they are trusted names built over decades. This level of brand recognition gives IAG a wide moat. It’s incredibly difficult for new players to break into the market when consumers automatically associate IAG brands with reliability and service.

And in insurance, trust is everything. That trust translates into customer retention and, importantly, pricing power.

3. Dividends That Deliver

In a volatile world, reliable dividends are gold. IAG has done well to continue rewarding shareholders even when the environment has been rough.

Latest dividend: $0.12 per share
Trailing twelve-month dividend yield: 3.43%

It’s not sky-high, but it’s sustainable and consistent—two traits that matter more than ever in a shaky macro climate. And with earnings improving, there’s scope for dividend growth in the next few years.

4. Strong Financials in FY25

The company’s performance in the first half of FY25 reinforces my optimism:

Revenue: $8.84 billion — up 9.56% YoY

Net Profit: $778 million — up a whopping 91% YoY

P/E Ratio: 17.17x — a fair valuation for a stable business

These numbers show IAG is not just surviving—it’s growing, and at a healthy pace.

5. Smart Reinsurance Strategy = Lower Risk

Yes, reinsurance costs are up globally, and this remains a key risk. But IAG has responded with strategic adjustments to its reinsurance program.

Key highlight:
Multi-year quota share agreements with Munich Re and others
These deals reduce exposure to catastrophic losses and help stabilise earnings.

This proactive risk management shows me that IAG’s leadership isn’t just reactive—they’re strategic, working ahead to build more predictable margins in an unpredictable world.

6. Digital Transformation Is Quietly Paying Off

While tech companies get all the digital headlines, IAG has been making meaningful progress behind the scenes. Through its “Customer Labs” and investment in AI-powered underwriting and claims automation, the company is:

1. Reducing operating costs
2. Speeding up claims processes
3. Improving customer satisfaction

This shift is slow and steady—but it’s creating operational leverage. As margins expand over time, so does the potential for earnings growth and dividend increases.

7. Still Below Pre-COVID Highs = Room to Grow

Despite its recent rally, IAG stock still trades below its pre-COVID peak. And that, in my view, creates an opportunity.

If the company continues to build on its FY25 momentum, improve risk control, and benefit from higher yields on its investment portfolio, capital appreciation is on the table—on top of the dividend income.

Outlook: Optimism with Caution

Let’s be real. IAG isn’t a growth rocket like a tech stock. It won’t double overnight. And yes, it faces short-term risks:

1. Higher claims from natural catastrophes
2. Reinsurance cost inflation
3. Ongoing market volatility

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

Once a pillar of trust in Australia’s financial services landscape, AMP Limited (ASX: AMP) has seen its reputation — and stock price — battered over the past few years. From regulatory scandals to strategic missteps, the company has struggled to win back investor confidence. However, with the dust starting to settle, one big question arises: Is AMP now undervalued at current prices?

Let’s take a closer look at what’s changed, what’s improving, and why AMP may be entering a new phase — one where value investors might want to pay attention.

A Glance in the Rearview Mirror: AMP’s Troubled Past

AMP’s fall from grace is well documented. In 2018, it was one of the major casualties of Australia’s Royal Commission into misconduct in the banking, superannuation, and financial services industry. The revelations led to massive client remediation costs, executive resignations, and a sharp erosion of public trust.

As a result, AMP’s share price has declined by over 70% since its 2018 highs, leaving a trail of disillusioned investors in its wake. But past performance is not always indicative of future results — and that might be exactly where AMP’s opportunity lies.

What AMP Does Today – A More Focused Business

AMP has significantly simplified its business model. Today, the company operates across three core segments:

1. AMP Bank: A retail-focused bank providing home loans and deposit products.
2. Platforms: Delivering investment and superannuation solutions to Australians.
3. New Zealand Wealth Management: Financial advice and wealth services across the Tasman.

Importantly, AMP has exited its non-core and capital-intensive segments, such as AMP Capital and life insurance, which were previously weighing down overall performance.

Signs of a Turnaround – Restructuring That Matters

In recent years, AMP has taken meaningful steps to transform its operations and restore shareholder value:

Asset Sales: Strategic divestment of life insurance and infrastructure assets has helped de-risk the balance sheet.
Capital Returns: The company has completed a share buyback and capital return, signaling confidence in its future cash flows.
Leadership Overhaul: Under CEO Alexis George, the company is embracing cultural reform and refocusing on core competencies.

These aren’t just cosmetic changes — they’re starting to show up in the numbers.

Improved Financials: A Quiet but Real Comeback

In H2 FY24, AMP reported net income of $83 million, a stark reversal from a $34 million loss in the same period last year.

The current P/E ratio of 20.62 and P/B ratio of 1.01 indicate that the market is pricing AMP near its book value — despite improving profitability and a cleaner structure. The most recent dividend of $0.01 per share may be modest, but it reflects cautious optimism and financial discipline.

AMP Bank – The Underappreciated Engine

Although it lacks the scale of Australia’s “Big Four” banks, AMP Bank is quietly gaining ground:

Home loan book grew ~6% in FY24

Net Interest Margin (NIM) remains resilient, despite rising interest rates

Low delinquency rates show healthy credit quality

With rising housing demand and increased refinancing activity, AMP Bank could become a reliable contributor to overall group profitability.

So, Why Is the Market Still Skeptical?

Despite the recovery signs, AMP still trades as if it’s stuck in the past. Why?

1. Lingering distrust from past scandals
2. Pessimism around the wealth management industry
3. Slow pace of transformation
4. Limited analyst coverage and investor fatigue

Yet, this disconnect between perception and fundamentals is exactly what creates a potential value play.

What Could Drive a Re-rating? – The Upcoming Catalysts

Here are five key triggers that could boost AMP’s share price and shift market sentiment:

1. Further Cost Reductions – Already underway, efficiency gains will improve margins and ROE.
2. Improved Profitability from AMP Bank – Higher NIMs and loan book growth could surprise the market.
3. Capital Management – More buybacks or higher dividends could reward shareholders.
4. Regulatory Stability – With fewer legacy issues, AMP is better positioned to rebuild its brand.
5. Earnings Upside – Continued earnings beats could shift the narrative from recovery to growth.

Valuation: Undervalued or Simply Ignored?

AMP currently trades close to its book value, and its P/E ratio remains below many financial sector peers. When you factor in:

1. Streamlined business structure
2. Steady earnings recovery
3. Shareholder-friendly capital returns
4. Undervalued banking arm

It becomes harder to justify such a low valuation unless one believes AMP will stumble again — which current data doesn’t support.

Final Verdict: A Long-Term Opportunity?

AMP isn’t a momentum stock. It won’t double in a month, and there are no guarantees that its transformation will be flawless. But for patient investors, AMP offers a rare combination:

1. A business that’s improving
2. A stock that’s unloved
3. And a valuation that’s hard to ignore

The worst appears to be behind AMP. And while many investors remain focused on the past, those willing to look ahead may find an undervalued gem hiding in plain sight on the ASX.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

While giants like BHP and Rio Tinto dominate headlines, a few small-cap mining stocks are silently outperforming the ASX in 2025. These hidden gems, often overlooked by large institutions, are proving that size isn’t everything when it comes to delivering returns. Whether it’s through strategic exploration, operational efficiency, or a timely pivot in production strategy, these companies are catching the attention of savvy investors seeking alpha.

Let’s dive into three ASX-listed small-cap mining stocks—Regis Resources, Caprice Resources, and Ora Banda Mining—that are quietly delivering strong results and beating broader market indices.

1. Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL)

The Gold Producer with Big-Cap Strength in a Small-Cap Body

Company Overview:
Regis Resources is a mid-tier gold producer headquartered in Perth, Western Australia. It operates several open-pit mines under the Duketon Gold Project and holds a 30 percent interest in the Tropicana Gold Project, operated by AngloGold Ashanti. The company has long focused on producing gold at a low cost while maintaining strong reserve growth.

Why It’s Outperforming the Market:

1. Gold Price Tailwinds: With global inflation and economic uncertainty still lingering in 2025, gold prices have held above 3,000 oz. This directly benefits Regis, whose operations are highly leveraged to gold prices.
2. Operational Efficiency: Regis maintains a low all-in sustaining cost (AISC), which allows for wider profit margins. Recent reports show AISC of approximately 1,370 AUD/oz, significantly below peers.
3. Disciplined Capital Management: The company has focused on strengthening its balance sheet while reinvesting selectively in exploration and mine expansion, avoiding overleveraging.

Share Price Performance:
Over the past 12 months, RRL’s share price has jumped more than 150 percent, thanks to a combination of strong quarterly earnings, rising gold prices, and improved investor sentiment toward gold miners.

Outlook:
Regis stands out as a small-cap stock that offers big-cap reliability. Analysts expect further earnings growth and potential dividend increases, especially if gold prices remain stable or rise. The company is well-positioned to remain profitable, even if the market turns volatile.

2. Caprice Resources Ltd (ASX: CRS)

The Pure Explorer with High-Grade Gold Potential

Company Overview:
Caprice Resources is a junior gold explorer focusing on its Island Gold Project in the Murchison region of Western Australia. Unlike producers, Caprice doesn’t yet generate revenue but creates value through discovery and development.

Why It’s Outperforming the Market:

1. Impressive Exploration Results: Caprice has released several high-grade gold drill results, including 6.4 grams per tonne over 28 metres. These results have triggered strong market interest and speculation about future discoveries.
2. Attractive Entry Point: Being a micro-cap stock, Caprice started with a very low market valuation. Even modest progress in exploration has led to sharp upward re-ratings.
3. Favorable Regional Focus: Murchison has become a hotspot for gold exploration in 2025, with increased activity from both small explorers and mid-tier producers looking for acquisitions.

Share Price Performance:
CRS has been one of the best-performing micro-cap stocks in 2025, soaring over 200 percent year-to-date. This performance has outpaced the ASX Small Ordinaries Index by a wide margin and signaled growing confidence from retail and institutional investors.

Outlook:
Caprice is a high-risk, high-reward proposition. The company plans to continue aggressive drilling through 2025. If further results are successful, a maiden JORC-compliant resource estimate could provide a significant valuation uplift. Investors should monitor drilling updates closely.

3. Ora Banda Mining Ltd (ASX: OBM)

From Struggler to Standout—A True Turnaround Story

Company Overview:
Ora Banda operates in the Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia and owns the Davyhurst Gold Project. The company also operates the Riverina underground mine, with an established processing plant and infrastructure in place.

Why It’s Outperforming the Market:

1. Production Ramp-Up: The company increased production significantly from the Riverina underground mine. Total gold production hit 85,000 ounces last year, with plans to exceed 100,000 ounces in 2025.
2. Cost Control and Strategy Shift: By cutting costs and focusing on higher-grade underground deposits, Ora Banda has become more efficient and sustainable. Its new exploration strategy is yielding positive early results.

Share Price Performance:
OBM has seen a solid rebound, with shares rising significantly in the last 12 months. Investors have responded positively to its turnaround strategy, profitability, and future growth potential.

Outlook:
Ora Banda’s story is no longer one of survival, but one of growth. With fresh drilling underway at the Sand King and Riverina South prospects, there’s potential for resource expansion and life-of-mine extension. OBM is positioning itself as a serious contender in the small-cap gold production space.

Investor Takeaway

The small-cap mining space is often ignored due to its volatility, but that’s where opportunity often lies. These three ASX-listed companies have shown that with the right strategy, even lesser-known miners can deliver outsized returns:

1. Regis Resources offers a more conservative route with strong production and earnings leverage to gold.
2. Caprice Resources is a speculative gem that could explode in value if exploration success continues.
3. Ora Banda Mining has shown what’s possible when a company gets its act together and executes a disciplined turnaround.

As always, investing in small-cap mining stocks requires due diligence and risk management. But for those with an appetite for growth and the patience to ride short-term volatility, these three companies could offer a golden opportunity in 2025 and beyond.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.

When interest rates rise, most companies start to sweat—debt becomes costlier, consumers pull back, and growth slows. But not every stock wilts under pressure. In fact, some thrive.

Enter Insurance Australia Group (ASX: IAG) — a powerhouse in the general insurance space that is proving to be one of the rare winners in a high-interest-rate environment.

At a time when investors are looking for shelter from rate-driven volatility, IAG is quietly delivering the kind of performance that makes it a compelling pick for both income and growth.

Company Snapshot: Who Is IAG?

IAG isn’t just another name in the insurance game—it’s a market leader. With a presence across Australia and New Zealand, IAG owns a suite of trusted brands including:

1. NRMA Insurance
2. CGU Insurance
3. SGIO and SGIC
4. AMI (New Zealand)

The company offers a wide range of general insurance products—car, home, business, and travel—and serves millions of policyholders.

Importantly, IAG also manages an investment portfolio exceeding $10 billion, making it highly sensitive to interest rate movements. As rates rise, the return on this massive asset base rises too—a hidden lever that powers profits.

Financial Performance: Strong First Half of FY25

IAG has already shown its strength in the current high-rate climate:

Revenue: $8.84 billion in H1 FY25, up 9.56% YoY

Net Income: $778 million, a whopping 91% YoY growth

P/E Ratio: 17.19, reflecting moderate valuation

Dividend: $0.12 per share, with a 3.43% trailing yield

The numbers tell a clear story—IAG is not just surviving, it’s thriving.

Growth Drivers: Why IAG Benefits From Higher Rates

1. Higher Investment Income

Insurance companies collect premiums upfront, often long before they pay out claims. This money is typically parked in safe investments like government bonds.

When rates are low, returns on these investments are minimal. But as interest rates climb, so do the yields.

In FY24, IAG’s investment income surged thanks to rising yields—a trend that looks set to continue if interest rates remain elevated. This means the company can generate more income simply by holding onto policyholder premiums.

2. Premium Rate Increases

Insurance premiums are rising, and IAG has been proactive in passing these increases on to customers. The company reported double-digit premium growth, particularly in car and home insurance, where inflation and climate-related claims have driven costs higher.

Rather than absorb the hit, IAG has maintained its margins by adjusting its pricing model. In fact, gross written premiums (GWP) increased by more than 10% YoY—a sign of both pricing power and customer loyalty.

3. Strong Capital Position

High interest rates make borrowing expensive. But IAG is sitting pretty.

Its balance sheet is well-capitalised, with regulatory capital comfortably above required levels. This reduces its reliance on debt and gives it more flexibility in managing operations and returning capital to shareholders.

With a conservative financial structure, IAG is insulated from the risks that are plaguing over-leveraged companies.

4. Efficiency Through Innovation

IAG is not resting on tradition. It’s investing heavily in digital transformation, including:

1. Claims automation
2. AI-based fraud detection
3. Data-driven risk assessment

These tools are expected to improve customer service, speed up processing, and reduce claim leakage. Over time, that translates to better margins and stronger profitability.

What Makes IAG Stand Out in 2025?

Let’s break it down:

1. Defensive Business Model: Insurance is a must-have, even during economic slowdowns. That makes IAG relatively recession-resistant.
2. Positive Rate Sensitivity: Unlike many businesses that struggle when rates rise, IAG actually benefits from it.
3. Reliable Dividends: A steady income stream with a yield of over 3% makes IAG attractive for income-focused investors.
4. Proven Profit Growth: With net income nearly doubling in H1 FY25, the company has demonstrated it can grow even in tough environments.
5. Smart Capital Allocation: Strong reserves and disciplined cost management set it apart from peers.

Risks to Watch

No investment is without risk. For IAG, key challenges include:

1. Extreme Weather Events: Floods, fires, and storms can increase claim volumes unexpectedly.
2. Regulatory Pressures: Changes in capital requirements or pricing guidelines could impact operations.
3. Customer Retention: Premium hikes may test loyalty, though IAG’s strong brand helps mitigate this.

However, the company’s proactive risk management strategies and diversified brand portfolio offer strong defenses.

Final Verdict: A Smart Pick in a High-Rate Economy

In a world where rising interest rates are squeezing corporate profits and dragging down growth stocks, Insurance Australia Group (ASX: IAG) emerges as a clear winner.

It is well-positioned to benefit from:

1. Increasing premium income
2. Strong operational execution
3. A capital-light, low-debt structure

All while paying a solid dividend and keeping costs in check.

For investors seeking a balance of stability, income, and upside potential, IAG could be a strong addition to the portfolio—particularly in this new era of elevated interest rates.

Disclaimer:

General Financial Product Advice and Regulatory Framework: Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd (ABN 66 680 815 678, ACN 680 815 678) operates as Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 001312049) of Alpha Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL 330757), which is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). This report contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without consideration of your personal objectives, financial situation, specific needs, circumstances, or investment experience. The information is not tailored to individual circumstances and may not be suitable for your particular situation. Before acting on any information contained herein, you should carefully consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal objectives, financial situation, and needs, and consider seeking personal financial advice from a qualified financial adviser who can assess your individual circumstances and provide tailored recommendations.

Investment Risks and Market Warnings: All investments carry significant risk, and different investment strategies may carry varying levels of risk exposure including total loss of invested capital. The value of investments and income derived from them can fluctuate significantly due to market conditions, economic factors, company-specific events, regulatory changes, commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, interest rate movements, and other factors beyond our control. Securities markets are subject to market risk from general economic conditions and investor sentiment, liquidity risk affecting the ability to buy or sell securities at desired prices, credit risk from issuer default or deterioration, operational risk from inadequate internal processes, sector-specific risks including industry regulatory changes, technology obsolescence, management changes, competitive pressures, supply chain disruptions, and mining-specific risks including resource estimation uncertainty, operational hazards, environmental compliance, permitting delays, commodity price cycles, geopolitical factors affecting mining operations, and exploration risks. Small-cap and speculative mining stocks carry additional risks including limited liquidity, higher volatility, dependence on key personnel, limited operating history, uncertain cash flows, and potential failure to achieve commercial production.

Information Accuracy and Limitations: While we endeavour to ensure information accuracy and reliability, we make no representations or warranties (express or implied) regarding the accuracy, reliability, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of information provided, except where liability cannot be excluded under applicable law. This report may include information from third-party sources including company announcements, regulatory filings, research reports, market data providers, financial news services, and publicly available information, which we do not independently verify and for which we assume no responsibility. Past performance, examples, historical data, or projections are not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of future returns is provided or implied. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Pristine Gaze Pty Ltd and Alpha Securities Pty Ltd, together with their respective directors, officers, employees, representatives, and related entities, exclude all liability for any errors, omissions, inaccuracies, loss or damage (including direct, indirect, consequential, or special damages) arising from reliance on information provided, investment decisions made based on this report, market losses, opportunity costs, and technical issues or system failures.